Monday, September 26, 2022

Raza Babu Hoja KakaUkraine war latest: Russia strikes more than 40 Ukrainian Horipur 2023 Mokul

 At downtown Khartoum's al-Souq al-Arabi, travel agencies helping young Sudanese seek a brighter economic future in Egypt are replacing once-packed hardware stores in a corner of the capital's main commercial hub.

The exodus reflects growing despondence over prospects at home, where the economy has been in free fall and the U.N. says food shortages affect a third of the population. Power and water cuts are common. Anti-army protests have rocked the streets since a coup a year ago.

Following the military takeover, which toppled a civilian-led government that had promised a new economic dawn, the number of those leaving has accelerated, travel agents and migrants say.

Egypt, already home to a Sudanese community estimated at 4 million, offers few of the lucrative jobs that Sudanese migrants have traditionally sought in the Gulf, but it is an easier and often more familiar destination.

Political Cartoons on World Leaders

And while some do travel onward on treacherous Mediterranean trips to Europe, Egypt has notable advantages.

Young Sudanese can travel there cheaply and hunt for work, while families seek healthcare, education for their children and a stable life.

Typhoon Noru left swathes of farmland in the northern Philippines flooded, and at least five dead, as it moved west off the Philippines on Monday, September 26.

The country’s largest and most populous island, Luzon, was worst hit, with gusts of up to 149 mph and waist-high floodwaters leaving families stranded on rooftops. Five rescue workers were reported killed in Bulacan.

With 76,000 people being evacuated from their homes in advance, Noru, known locally as Karding, did less damage and caused less loss of life than had been expected. President Ferdinand Marcos was quoted as saying “I think we may have gotten lucky, at least this time.”

Video footage posted by the Philippine Coast Guard shows a crew from Station Bataan lifting a baby to safety in Castellano, in the municipality of San Leonardo, Nueva Ecija province. The post states a total of 12 people were rescued in the operation. Credit: Philippine Coast Guard via Storyful

"All us young people want to build a future, but you can't do that here," said Munzir Mohamed, a 21-year-old trying to book a bus trip to Egypt at one of the travel agencies.

The owner of a Khartoum bus company said as many as 30 buses were taking around 1,500 passengers to Egypt from Sudan daily, which he said was up 50% from last year, despite sharp ticket price increases. Two travel agents estimated the number of young men seeking to make the journey had doubled in the last year.

There are no publicly available figures to show recent migration trends from Sudan to Egypt. But an Egyptian diplomat said numbers travelling had been on the rise since 2019, when an uprising led to the overthrow of former Sudanese leader Omar al-Bashir.

"Movement of Sudanese people into Egypt has been increasing ... gradually and proportional to the deterioration of the situation in Sudan," he said.

The pound has slumped to an all-time low against the dollar after Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng hinted at more tax cuts to come after after last week’s Budget.

Sterling tumbled almost 5pc to as low as $1.0327 in overnight trading, taking it below its 1985 low to the weakest since decimalisation in 1971.

It clawed back some ground to about $1.05, but the sharp decline has fuelled fears it could slump to parity by the end of the year.

Highlighting the dire outlook, the pound fell against every single other currency in the world, from the Albanian lek to the Zambian kwacha.

The latest fall makes sterling the worst-performing G10 currency in the year so far.

The euro also hit a fresh 20-year low amid recession and energy security fears and on signs Italy's far-right alliance is on track to take power.

The Chancellor has brushed off questions about the markets' reaction to his mini-Budget – which outlined the biggest programme of tax cuts for 50 years – after it was announced on Friday.

The measures, which include scrapping the additional rate of income tax and cutting stamp duty, are aimed at fuelling economic growth.

But markets have been spooked amid fears Prime Minister Liz Truss is pushing up public borrowing to unsustainable levels.

Mr Kwarteng rattled traders further yesterday by saying there was  “more to come” on tax cuts.

The sharp decline in the pound has fuelled speculation that the Bank of England could be forced to step in with an emergency interest rate rise ahead of its next meeting in November.

TAXES AND FEES

In al-Souq al-Arabi, labourers, electricians, and others who would typically be at building sites idle away the time drinking tea and playing board games while they wait for work.

"We used to hope for five minutes to take a seat. Now I'm sat here all day," said the owner of one hardware store still operating in the market.

Much of the paltry income that shopkeepers and stall-holders can still make goes to higher taxes, dues, and license fees introduced by a government that lost billions in external economic support after the coup, they say.

The finance minister, Jibril Ibrahim, said on Sunday the country would rely on its own internal resources for a second year to fund the budget, despite the government struggling to provide basic services.

Taxes and fees have risen by 400% or more in some instances, business owners say.

"It's impacted us hugely," said the hardware store owner.

Traders shut down main markets in the cities of Sennar and Gedaref this month in protest at the charges. Further closures are due in the city of El Obeid this week. The government, with no new prime minister appointed since the coup, is juggling strikes by electricity and sewage workers as well as trainee doctors over low wages.

The finance ministry did not respond to a request for comment.

Official inflation has eased from a high of 423% last year to 117% in August, which businessmen and analysts say reflects economic stagnation. It is still one of the highest rates globally.

The Sudanese pound depreciated by 950% over the past four years, while fuel, once subsidized, has become more expensive than in many wealthier countries.

Business owners say most people can no longer afford much beyond basic goods, causing traders and factories to slow down or close up shop.

Russian shelling hit more than 40 towns in Ukraine in the space of 24 hours, Ukrainian officials said on Monday, as fierce fighting continues to rage in the country’s south.

Russian forces launched five missile and 12 air strikes, as well as more than 83 attacks from multiple rocket-propelled grenades, the general staff of Ukraine’s armed forces said.

In response to the attacks, Ukraine's air force launched 33 strikes, hitting 25 "enemy" areas, the general staff added.

Meanwhile, Volodymyr Zelensky, Ukraine's president, warned earlier that Vladimir Putin's nuclear threats "could be a reality".

 both friendly and abusive — to keep up with you.  (Photo: Carol Yepes via Getty Images)

Ask anyone. If you have an ex-partner, you probably have checked out their social media accounts at least once, right? Social media “stalking” is often a relatively harmless rite of passage into singlehood. Some people keep the peeping to a minimum, while others check up on their exes a bit more often.

Elena checks in on her ex-partner’s social media whenever she’s feeling “extremely single,” or even just bored. “It can be fun, but there’s definitely a morbid curiosity aspect to it — almost like every time you go to check their socials, it’s a gamble to see if they’ve moved on or not, or whether or not you’re still on their radar,” she said. (She and others are being referenced by first names or pseudonyms to protect their or their ex-partner’s privacy.)

 

Elena described her relationship with her ex as great, with no signs of toxicity, but they did have a hard time letting each other go. “Seemed like there was always a door left slightly open, so I guess that fueled some of the ‘stalking,’” she explained. She has checked up on her ex on “basically any platform that I know he’s active on,” including Instagram, Venmo, Spotify and LinkedIn.

She said Venmo and Spotify usually reveal the most information.

“I like to check up on Venmo because it can tell you who they’ve been hanging out with and give you a little insight on what they’ve been up to. If there’s a transaction between him and some girl with the memo ‘drinks 🍹’ or something of that nature, it’s a fun little game to go down the ‘stalking’ rabbit hole and see what his relationship might be to said girl,” Elena said. “One time I found out an ex was getting a new tattoo through Venmo, so sometimes it’s just funny little updates like that.”

"He wants to scare the whole world," he said. "I don't think he's bluffing. I think the world is deterring it and containing this threat. We need to keep putting pressure on him and not allow him to continue."

The US has warned the Kremlin that Russia will face “catastrophic consequences” if it uses nuclear weapons in Ukraine.

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10:46 AM

IAEA chief ready for Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant talks this week

UN atomic watchdog chief Rafael Grossi has said he is ready to hold talks in Ukraine and Russia this week on setting up a protection zone at the Russian-held Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant in Ukraine that he says is needed urgently.

"There is a plan on the table to do it. Last week I had an opportunity to start consultations with Ukraine and with the Russian Federation ... and I am ready to continue these consultations in both countries this week," Mr Grossi told a meeting of IAEA member states.

 

IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi visited the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant earlier this month. - Reuters

IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi visited the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant earlier this month. - Reuters© Reuters

10:19 AM

School shooting death toll rises to nine

At least nine people were killed, including five children, in a shooting at a school in the city of Izhevsk in central Russia, investigators have said.

"Nine people were killed because of this crime, including two security guards of the educational institution and two teachers, as well as five minors," Russia's Investigative Committee said in a statement on Telegram, adding that the attacker "committed suicide".

 

09:57 AM

OECD cuts world GDP growth forecast over Ukraine war

The world economy will take a bigger hit next year than previously forecast due to the impact of Russia's war in Ukraine, the OECD said Monday.

The organisation slashed its 2023 global growth forecast to 2.2 per cent, down from 2.8 per cent in its previous estimate in June, with Europe's economic powerhouse Germany falling into recession.

 

09:32 AM

At least six dead in Russia school shooting

A gunman killed six people a school in the Russian city of Izhevsk, Russia's interior ministry said in a statement on Telegram.

The Udmurtia branch of the interior ministry said the gunman had killed himself and that 20 people were wounded.

News agency RIA cited Governor Alexander Brechalov of the Udmurtia region, of which Izhevsk is the capital, as saying that an unidentified man had entered the school and killed a security guard. He said that there were dead and wounded among the school students.

 

09:20 AM

Thousands of Russians have fled to Finland to escape mobilisation

Almost 17,000 Russians crossed the border into Finland during the weekend, an 80 per cent rise from a week earlier, Finnish authorities have said.

Captain Taneli Repo at Finland's southeastern border authority said: "The queues continue to be a bit longer than they've usually been since the pandemic."

Young Russian men who spoke to Reuters after crossing into Finland via the Vaalimaa border station last week, some three hours by car from Russia's second-largest city St Petersburg, said they left out of fear of being drafted for the war.

The Finnish government, wary of becoming a major transit nation, on Friday said it will stop all Russians from entering on tourist visas within the coming days, although exceptions may still apply on humanitarian grounds.

That may push more people to leave. The International Organization for Migration (IOM), "anticipates that more people will consider migration as an option," a spokesman for the U.N. agency said in reference to Sudan.

MENIAL JOBS

Circumstances in Egypt are also difficult with inflation running at its highest in almost four years, and almost a quarter of youths unemployed, according to the International Labour Organisation.

Sudanese youth often end up working menial jobs in factories, gold mines, or as domestic help, travel agents and migrants say. But they have a community to lean on, and can earn more than at home.

"My whole family in Sudan worked and we still weren't making much, and it would all go towards food," said 23-year-old Malaz Abbakar, who moved to Egypt two years ago.

Now, she says, she's able to send her family up to 120,000 Sudanese pounds ($208) per month working as a babysitter.

Stores selling Sudanese foods have cropped up in Cairo, private schools advertise Egyptian branches on billboards in Khartoum, and many travel to Egypt for healthcare that's become expensive or unavailable back home.

For some, like 23-year-old Adam from war-stricken Darfur, Egypt is a stopover before the treacherous journey across the Mediterranean to Europe.

"It's dangerous but it's better to risk it and have a good life than to suffer in poverty and hopelessness," he said as he queued for a visa at the Egyptian consulate in Khartoum, along with dozens of other would-be migrants.

Among the dead was a school security guard and two schoolteachers. Earlier, Russia’s Interior Ministry reported at least 20 were wounded.

 

The gunmen, clad in black and wearing a black balaclava, shot the school security guard before walking into the school, opening fire on children, many of them as young as seven years old, according local media accounts.

Panic-stricken children fled the school during the attack, as police with pistols raised rushed up stairwells and along school corridors, according to video aired by independent local media.

The school shooting, in the capital of the Russian republic of Udmurtia, occurred on the same day that a young Russian man shot the head of a local military enlistment office in the Irkutsk region of Siberia.

If the Supreme Court adopts the theory, it will radically reshape how federal elections are conducted by giving state lawmakers independent authority, not subject to review by state courts, to set election rules in conflict with state constitutions.

The conference’s brief, which was nominally filed in support of neither party, urged the Supreme Court to reject that approach, sometimes called the independent state legislature theory. The Constitution, the brief said, “does not oust state courts from their traditional role in reviewing election laws under state constitutions.”

The case, Moore v. Harper, No. 21-1271, will be argued in the coming months. It concerns a congressional voting map drawn by the North Carolina Legislature favoring Republicans that was rejected as a partisan gerrymander by the state’s Supreme Court. Republican lawmakers seeking to restore the legislative map argued that the state court had been powerless to act.

 

Wednesday, September 21, 2022

Kalu Team Lidar Putin can call up all the troops Natore Abu Hena Roni Sick So Verry Bad 2022 VabI

 Vladimir Putin can call up all the troops he wants, but Russia has no way of getting those new troops the training and weapons they need to fight in Ukraine any time soon.

Former US Ambassador to the UN and White House hopeful Nikki Haley endorsed Republican Michael Henry for New York state attorney general amid a feud with Democratic incumbent AG Letitia James.

Haley last month accused James’ office of breaking tax laws by leaking the list of donors to her conservative not-for-profit advocacy group, Stand for America.

It was confirmation of the credo Biden has preached since the day he took office: that America is back, and that means back on top.

Jane Rosenthal wasn’t mincing words about the slow growth of women’s representation behind the camera in Hollywood: “The statistics are bleak,” she said Sept. 20 at the Through Her Lens luncheon, presented by Chanel at New York’s Locanda Verde restaurant in the Greenwich Hotel. “The numbers have hardly budged over the years, despite assumed progress.”

Indeed, even as conversations about women-helmed projects have heightened in recent years, Rosenthal pointed to industry figures gathered since 1998, noting that the percentage of women directors, writers, producers and cinematographers since then had only increased by four percent. “More than two decades and an increase of only 4 percent? You’ve gotta be kidding me,” added Rosenthal, the CEO and co-founder of Tribeca Enterprises, host of the annual Tribeca Film Festival, set for June 7-18 in 2023.

"Both through age and experience, he's someone very attached to the idea of American leadership," said Garret Martin, who teaches international relations at American University.

Unlike isolationist Donald Trump, who ditched international agreements, entered erratic relationships with US foes and treated US allies as a nuisance, Biden's worldview, laid out from the podium of the UN's huge hall, was more straightforward.

The United States will get involved everywhere, he said. The only question is whether that will be with a carrot -- or, as with Russia, a stick.

 

Biden's blistering denunciation of Russia began in the opening paragraph of his speech, when he said the Ukraine war was "chosen by one man."

President Vladimir Putin had "shamelessly violated the core tenets of the United Nations Charter," he said.

"This war is about extinguishing Ukraine's right to exist as a state, plain and simple, and Ukraine's right to exist as a people. Whoever you are, wherever you live, whatever you believe, that should not -- that should make your blood run cold."

So it went on.

 

But then came the carrot.

"If you're still committed to a strong foundation for the good of every nation around the world, then the United States wants to work with you," Biden said.

"The United States is opening an era of relentless diplomacy to address the challenges that matter most to people's lives -- all people's lives."

He announced another $2.9 billion to help ease food supply problems endangering parts of Africa in particular.

And he strongly supported diluting the privileged position held by the five old powers on the permanent UN Security Council -- Britain, China, France, Russia and the United States -- by bringing in new members from the global south.

 

"The time has come for this institution to become more inclusive," he said, urging permanent seats to represent Africa and Latin America, in addition to previous calls for including Japan and India.

Biden reminded the world of the US role in creating and distributing vaccines during the Covid pandemic, and he renewed his promise of US leadership in the existential struggle with climate change.

Even if most of the focus was on criticizing Russia, Biden also brought out the stick for China -- just not as aggressively.

He only touched briefly on some of the worst accusations made in the West about China, including genocide against the Uyghurs.

Instead, he used mostly code words.

He said: "The United States is determined to defend and strengthen democracy at home and around the world."

He urged "basic principles like freedom of navigation."

And he called for "transparent" international infrastructure projects, rather than ones that "generate huge and large debt without delivering."

Code words, but easily understood as criticism of Beijing's expanding military and commercial grip on the Asia-Pacific region and even further afield.

On one topic, Biden was more blunt, accusing China of "conducting an unprecedented, concerning nuclear buildup without any transparency."

But just as important was the "direct" promise that Washington does "not seek conflict" with Beijing.

“Michael Henry is the outsider New Yorkers need to fight back against the corruption that’s plagued the Empire State,” Haley said in a statement provided to The Post Wednesday.

“I’m proud to endorse him because he’s pro-law and order, pro-government transparency, and will restore integrity to the NY Attorney General’s office,” Haley said.

Henry was thrilled to get endorsed by a major national Republican figure to fire up his underdog campaign.

“I’m proud to receive the endorsement of Ambassador Nikki Haley. She is a leader who is not afraid to fight back against corrupt and illegal behavior from my opponent’s office. She knows that I will root out this corruption and brazen political attacks that have no place in such an esteemed office,” Henry said.

NYS Attorney Genreral Letitia James
James is filing a $250 million lawsuit against former President Trump, his family and the Trump Organization for fraud.
William Farrington

James, a Democrat who is seeking re-election to a second term, made big waves Wednesday, filing a $250 million lawsuit against former President Donald Trump, his kids Eric, Ivanka and Donald Trump Jr., and the Trump Organization — alleging “staggering” fraud in the family real estate business.

Haley, who is considering a run for president in 2024, also has been in the headlines.

The former US ambassador to the United Nations under former President Donald Trump, Haley on Wednesday faulted President Biden for not calling out countries that allegedly are helping Russia’s invasion of Ukraine during his speech to the UN General Assembly — citing China, North Korea and Iran.

The former South Carina governor also called “The View” co-host Sunny Hostin a “racist” for accusing her of acting like a “chameleon” and shielding her Indian heritage behind a fake name.

Haley has gone by her middle name, Nikki, which is roughly translated from Hindu as “little one”, since childhood.

During their ongoing feud, Haley has publicly endorsed James’ counterpart Michael Henry.
Dennis A. Clark

“Thanks for your concern @Sunny,” the ex-ambassador tweeted. “It’s racist of you to judge my name. Nikki is an Indian name and is on my birth certificate—and I’m proud of that.

“What’s sad is the left’s hypocrisy towards conservative minorities. By the way, last I checked Sunny isn’t your birth name…”

The James campaign had no immediate comment regarding Haley’s endorsement of Henry.

he Shanghai Composite Index sank 0.2% to 3,111.37 and the Nikkei 225 in Tokyo slid 1% to 27,053.10. Hong Kong's Hang Seng tumbled 1.8% to 18,107.09.

South Korea's Kospi sank 1.2% to 2,320.22 and India's Sensex opened down 0.4% at 59,456.78.

New Zealand edged up less than 0.1% while Southeast Asian markets declined.

The Fed and central banks in Europe and Asia raising rates to slow economic growth and cool inflation that is at multi-decade highs.

Traders worry they might derail global economic growth. Fed officials acknowledge the possibility such aggressive rate hikes might bring on a recession but say inflation must be brought under control. They point to a relatively strong U.S. job market as evidence the economy can tolerate higher borrowing costs.

“The Fed’s new economic projections highlight it will tolerate a recession to bring inflation down,” said Gregory Daco of EY Parthenon in a report.

 

The yield on the 2-year Treasury, or the difference between the market price and the payout if held to maturity, rose to 4.02% from 3.97% late Tuesday. It was trading at its highest level since 2007.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury, which influences mortgage rates, fell to 3.52% from 3.56% late Tuesday.

The S&P 500 fell to 3,789.93. The Dow fell 1.7% to 30,183.78, and the Nasdaq composite lost 1.8% to 11,220.19.

The major Wall Street indexes are on pace for their fifth weekly loss in six weeks.

Fed chair Jerome Powell stressed his resolve to lift rates high enough to drive inflation back toward the central bank’s 2% goal. Powell said the Fed has just started to get to that level with this most recent increase.

The central bank's latest rate hike lifted its benchmark rate, which affects many consumer and business loans, to a range of 3% to 3.25%, the highest level in 14 years, and up from zero at the start of the year.

The Fed released a forecast known as a “dot plot” that showed it expects its benchmark rate to be 4.4% by year’s end, a full point higher than envisioned in June.

As in the rest of the UK, there will be a cap placed on the unit price of electricity and gas for two years.

The cap will not come into place in Northern Ireland until November, one month later than in the rest of the UK.

The government said households in NI would see the same benefits with the support being backdated.

 

Households using home heating oil will receive a one-off payment of £100 to help with rising energy costs, the UK government announced on Wednesday.

This will be delivered as a top-up to the £400 Energy Bills Support payment which is going to all UK households.

Some politicians have criticised the £100 heating oil payment, with SDLP leader Colum Eastwood describing it as an "insult".

After weeks of discussion about how the £400 rebate would be delivered in Northern Ireland, which has a separate energy market to Great Britain, former Chancellor Nadhim Zahawi announced in August that the money would be paid directly to electricity companies, with the money then delivered through discounts on customers' bills.

Households in Great Britain will start receiving their discounts in October but it remains unclear when Northern Ireland residents will receive it.

The Northern Ireland Economy Minister Gordon Lyons says he expects the money will be paid out before Christmas.

U.S. consumer prices rose 8.3% in August. That was down from July's 9.1% peak, but core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy prices to give a clearer picture of the trend, rose to 0.6% over the previous month, up from July’s 0.3% increase.

Central bankers in Japan, Britain, Switzerland and Norway are due to report on whether they also will raise rates again. Sweden surprised economists this week with a full-point hike.

The global economy also has been roiled by Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which pushed up prices of oil, wheat and other commodities.

In energy markets, benchmark U.S. crude gained 19 cents to $83.13 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York mercantile Exchange. The contract fell $1 to $82.94 on Wednesday. Brent crude, the price basis for international oil trading, advanced 20 cents to $90.03 per barrel in London. It lost 79 cents the previous session to $89.83.

The U.S. dollar surged to a new 24-year high against the yen after the Bank of Japan stuck to ultra-easing stimulus on Thursday, just hours after the Federal Reserve surprised markets with hawkish interest-rate projections.

The greenback had already pushed to a new 37-year peak to sterling ahead of the Bank of England's policy announcement later in the day, and to a two-decade top versus the euro.

It also notched new highs against regional currencies from the Australian and New Zealand dollars to the offshore Chinese yuan and the Korean won, as well as the Singapore dollar and Thai baht.

 

The yen went for a wild ride in the immediate aftermath of the BOJ's decision to keep short-term rates negative and continue to pin the 10-year government bond yield near zero, reinforcing market expectations that Japan's central bank will continue to swim against a global tide of monetary tightening, despite a weaker currency.

The dollar leapt as high as 145.405 yen for the first time since August 1998, but then swung sharply back to as low as 143.50, before last trading 0.45% higher than Wednesday at 144.75.

"There could be concern about intervention, or even a rate check by the BOJ," said Tohru Sasaki, head of Japan market research at J.P. Morgan in Tokyo. "It could also just be the result of market illiquidity."

"The market will be nervous, there will be some volatility for a while, but eventually, over the medium term, the weak yen trend will continue," Sasaki said. "The 1998 peak was at 147.60, so the market will be looking at that level."

Japan's top currency diplomat said later that officials had not intervened in the market.

The dollar index - which measures the greenback against a basket of six counterparts including the yen, euro and sterling - had earlier risen as high as 111.79 for the first time since mid-2002.

On Wednesday, the Fed issued new projections showing rates peaking at 4.6% next year with no cuts until 2024. It raised its target interest rate range by another 75 basis points (bps) overnight to 3.00%-3.25%, as was widely expected.

 

The dollar gained to 144.48 yen from Wednesday's 143.46 yen. The euro fell to 98.18 cents from 99.09 cents.

Copyright 2022 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

With his invasion of Ukraine faltering badly, the Russian President on Wednesday announced the immediate "partial mobilization" of Russian citizens. Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu said on Russian television that the country will call up 300,000 reservists.
If they end up facing Ukrainian guns on the front lines, they are likely to become the newest casualties in the invasion Putin started more than seven months ago and that has seen the Russian military fail at almost every aspect of modern war.
 
"The Russian military is not currently equipped to rapidly and effectively deploy 300,000 reservists," said Alex Lord, Europe and Eurasia specialist at the Sibylline strategic analysis firm in London.
"Russia is already struggling to effectively equip its professional forces in Ukraine, following significant equipment losses during the war," Lord said.
The recent Ukrainian offensive, which has seen Kyiv recapture thousands of square meters of territory, has taken a significant toll.
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close dialog
 
The Institute for the Study of War earlier this week said analysis from Western experts and Ukrainian intelligence found Russia had lost 50% to 90% of its strength in some units due to that offensive, and vast amounts of armor.
 
And that comes on top of staggering equipment losses over the course of the war.
The open source intelligence website Oryx, using only losses confirmed by photographic or video evidence, has found Russian forces have lost more than 6,300 vehicles, including 1,168 tanks, since the fighting began.
"In practice, they don't have enough modern equipment ... for that many new troops," said Jakub Janovsky, a military analyst who contributes to the Oryx blog.

Russia announces immediate 'partial mobilization' of citizens, escalating its invasion of Ukraine

 
 
JT Crump, CEO of Sibylline and a veteran of 20 years in the British military, said Russia is beginning to suffer ammunition shortages in some calibers and is looking for sources of key components so it can repair or build replacements for weapons lost on the battlefield.
It's not just tanks and armored personnel carriers that have been lost.
In many cases, Russian troops haven't had the basics in Ukraine, including a clear definition of what they are risking their lives for.
Despite Wednesday's mobilization order, Putin is still calling Ukraine a "special military operation," not a war.
Ukrainian soldiers know they are fighting for their homeland. Many Russian soldiers have no idea why they are in Ukraine.
Lithuanian Foreign Minister Gabrielius Landsbergis noted this on Wednesday, calling Putin's partial mobilization announcement "a sign of desperation."

A billboard promoting army service in Saint Petersburg on September 20 contains the slogan, "Serving Russia is a real job."

 
 
"I think that people definitely do not want to go to a war that they do not understand. ... People would be taken to jail if they were to call Russia's war in Ukraine a war, and now suddenly they have to go in and fight it unprepared, without weapons, without body armor, without helmets," he said.
But even if they did have all the equipment, weapons and motivation they need, getting 300,000 troops quickly trained for battle would be impossible, experts said.
"Neither the extra officers nor facilities necessary for a mass mobilization exist now in Russia," said Trent Telenko, a former quality control auditor for the US' Defense Contract Management Agency who has studied Russian logistics.
Reforms in 2008, aimed at modernizing and professionalizing the Russian military, removed many of the logistical and command and control structures that had once enabled the forces of the old Soviet Union to rapidly train and equip vast numbers of mobilized conscripts.

Shanghai, Tokyo, Hong Kong and Sydney declined. Oil prices edged higher.

Wall Street's benchmark S&P 500 index fell 1.7% on Wednesday to a two-month low after the Fed raised its benchmark lending rate by 0.75 percentage points, three times its usual margin. The Fed said it expects that rate to be a full percentage point higher by year's end than it did three months ago.

A former Chinese justice minister was sentenced to death with a two-year reprieve on charges of taking bribes and helping criminals including his brother hide illegal activity, state TV reported Thursday.

Fu Zhenghua’s conviction adds to a string of senior officials who have been punished for corruption in a long-running crackdown launched after President Xi Jinping took power in late 2012.

Fu, 67, pleaded guilty to abusing his powers in roles including minister and chief of police for the Chinese capital, Beijing, in 2005-21 to hide crimes by his brother and others, China Central Television said on its website.

In return, Fu received money and property amounting to 117 million yuan ($16.5 million), the official China Daily newspaper reported in July. Thursday's report and earlier news accounts gave no details of what Fu’s brother, Fu Weihua, was accused of doing.

Death sentences with a reprieve usually are commuted to long prison terms if the convict is deemed to have reformed.

Fu will be sentenced to life in prison without parole if his sentence is commuted, CCTV said.

“The Fed still managed to out-hawk the markets,” Anna Stupnytska of Fidelity International said in a report. “Economic strength and a hot labor market point to a limited trade-off — at least for the time being — between growth and inflation.”

Monday, September 19, 2022

Humaion Kobir barisal magnitude quake strikes on chilling anniversary Bonpara 2022

 At least one person has been killed by a major earthquake off the coast of Michoacán state in Mexico.

The earthquake, measured at a magnitude of 7.6, stuck on exactly the same day that two previous earthquakes caused enormous damage and killed hundreds or thousands of people in 1985 and 2017.

 The Federal Reserve is unlikely to pivot and cut its benchmark interest rate until 2024 at the soonest as it tries to crush the hottest inflation in four decades, according to Goldman Sachs strategists.

The bank's economists — led by Jan Hatzius — predicted in an analyst note on Monday that the U.S. central bank will raise interest rates four more times between now and the end of 2023, eventually holding them at a range between 4.25% to 4.50% until 2024.

The analyst note comes ahead of the Fed's two-day meeting this week, during which Hatzius now sees policymakers approving a third consecutive 75-basis-point interest rate increase — triple the usual size.

Fed Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaking at a FOMC meeting

Jerome Powell, chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve, speaks during a news conference following a Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in Washington, D.C., on Wednesday, May 4, 2022. (Al Drago/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)

Ms McKinnon said the council would like an alternate route considered that did not go through the centre of the city.

"We do know in other areas where the EIS has been done for other sections," she said.

"Other parts have been able to get a bypass or a different route to what was originally put forward."

Data discrepancies

Queen Elizabeth II, the longest-serving monarch in British history, died on September 8 at Balmoral, her Scottish retreat in rural Aberdeenshire, at the age of 96.

Hundreds of foreign royals and leaders attended the queen's funeral in London on September 19, making it one of the biggest diplomatic gatherings in decades, AFP reported.

Russia and Belarus were among a small group of nations to be excluded from the funeral following Moscow's invasion of Ukraine, a British government source told AFP.

Military-run Myanmar, a former British colony, and long-time pariah North Korea were also snubbed, the British source said on condition of anonymity.

The claim that China was also not invited to the ceremony in London was shared hundreds of times in other posts on Twitter and Gettr.

Some social media users appeared to believe the claim.

"It seems like they can't even be bothered to mention that name... because it could easily lead to humiliating China," one commented.

Another wrote: "Haha so my China doesn't even deserve a name?"

However, the claim is false.

Beijing's foreign ministry confirmed that Vice President Wang Qishan would attend the funeral on behalf of President Xi Jinping, as reported by AFP.  

"At the invitation of the UK government, President Xi Jinping's Special Representative Vice President Wang Qishan will attend the funeral of Queen Elizabeth II to be held in London on September 19," the statement on September 17 read. 

A photo of Wang attending the ceremony at Westminster Abbey was published here and here by AFP on September 19. He can be seen walking in front of Liu Xiaoming, the former Chinese Ambassador to the United Kingdom.

The council's submission says within the EIS Traffic and Transport Technical Paper it is stated that a 1,800-metre-long train, travelling at 80 kilometres an hour, would result in local level crossings — including one near Wagga Wagga Base Hospital — being closed for two minutes.

But the council found closure times of up to four minutes at the crossing at Bourke/Docker streets in the city, for a train under 1,000m long. 

"Our staff actually went and did train counts, also speed counts of the freight trains to pass through those level crossings and we found our data was very, very different," Ms McKinnon said. 

Double-stacked train
Double-stacked freight trains, up to 1,800m long, are predicted to utilise the route through Wagga Wagga. (Supplied: ARTC Inland Rail)

The council also raised concerns about the ARTC's data when it came to noise and vibrations.

"The numbers used for [the] level-crossing impact assessment are lower than the noise and vibration study," it said.

"This brings into question the effectiveness of the EIS as a holistic document."

The ARTC said the group had been consulting stakeholders since 2017.

It said the EIS study had been undertaken professionally.

"We believe the data and impact assessments in the EIS are both accurate and justifiable based on the document evidence," a spokesperson said.

Neighbouring council praises consultation

Junee Shire Council, which shares a border with WWCC, is more positive about the consultation process relating to the project so far.

"From the level of consultation that we've been receiving from the ARTC, it's been very good," said general manager James Davis.

"It's been open and come back to council many times and most issues have been resolved. [But] there are still some outstanding items."

Goldman Sachs then predicted that the Fed will deliver back-to-back half-percentage point increases in November and December, followed by one quarter-percentage point hike in 2023 and one rate cut in 2024.

"We see several reasons for the change in plan," Hatzius wrote. "The equity market threatened to undo some of the tightening in financial conditions that the Fed had engineered, labor market strength reduced fears of overtightening at this stage, Fed officials now appear to want somewhat quicker and more consistent progress toward reversing overheating, and some might have reevaluated the short-term neutral rate."

Although Goldman economists, like many other experts, initially thought the Fed would reduce the size of rate increases after July, that changed after the August inflation data released last week came in hotter than expected. The consumer price index unexpectedly rose 0.1% in August from the previous month, dashing hopes for a slowdown. On an annual basis, prices are up 8.3% — near the highest level since 1981.

Stocks fell sharply after the surprisingly hot report on fears of an even more aggressive Fed, with the Dow sliding 1,276 points — the worst day since June 2020.

Law enforcement experts are raising their eyebrows over New York City’s "gun free zone" law, which established a perimeter lined with laminated signs prohibiting the public from carrying firearms within, as one longtime police executive said the new legislation doesn’t "make sense" and is "extremely confusing."

"I didn’t like the idea of setting up special zones where permitted gun carrier holders could not go," said Terence Monahan, formerly the highest-ranking uniformed member of the New York Police Department. 

"The people who are doing the crime in the city, the people who are killing each other, are not the guys with licenses."

Liz Truss is going from the solemnity of a royal funeral to the maelstrom of international politics, and a crucial meeting with President Joe Biden.

Britain’s prime minister flew to New York on Monday for the United Nations General Assembly, coming straight from the funeral of Queen Elizabeth II, whose death and commemoration have dominated the start of the new leader’s term.

Truss won a Conservative Party leadership contest early this month and was appointed prime minister by the queen on Sept. 6, just two days before the monarch died.

— Brooklyn City Council Member Kalman Yeger, via NY1

Monahan spent just months shy of 40 years with the NYPD before he retired as Chief of Department in 2021. He said when he first heard the news of the "gun-free zones," it "didn’t make sense."

"It’s going to make things very confusing for police officers on the street dealing with it," he told Fox News Digital. "If someone is law enforcement, retired law enforcement, they’re allowed to have firearms in these zones. But other permit holders have to stop at a certain street and turn around if they have their firearms, can’t go into certain stores or locations."

HOUSING REPORT: Investors are eagerly awaiting a Tuesday morning housing report to gauge another factor how inflation is affecting the economy.

At 8:30 a.m. ET, the Commerce Department is expected to say the number of new homes under construction in August dipped 0.1% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.445 million. 

That would mark the second straight monthly decline to the lowest in a year-and-a half (since February 2021).

Housing starts have tumbled 20% in the three months since hitting a near 16-year high of 1.810 million in April (the highest since June 2006) as increased borrowing costs and rising prices slammed affordability.

Warning that the world is in “great peril,” the head of the United Nations says leaders meeting in person for the first time in three years must tackle conflicts and climate catastrophes, increasing poverty and inequality — and address divisions among major powers that have gotten worse since Russia invaded Ukraine.

Yet as of Monday evening, the tremor appeared to have passed without that level of tragedy, despite heightened nerves from a nationwide annual earthquake drill that occurred less than an hour beforehand.

Mexican president Andrés Manuel López Obrador said that one person died in the western state of Colima due to a falling fence at a shopping centre.

US and Mexican authorities issued a tsunami alert, while videos showed rattling rooms, wildly swinging light fixtures, and wobbling pickup trucks throughout western Mexico

In speeches and remarks leading up to the start of the leaders' meeting Tuesday, Secretary-General Antonio Guterres cited the “immense” task not only of saving the planet, “which is literally on fire,” but of dealing with the persisting COVID-19 pandemic. He also pointed to “a lack of access to finance for developing countries to recover -- a crisis not seen in a generation” that has seen ground lost for education, health and women’s rights.

Guterres will deliver his “state of the world” speech at Tuesday’s opening of the annual high-level global gathering. U.N. spokesman Stephane Dujarric said it would be "a sober, substantive and solutions-focused report card” for a world “where geopolitical divides are putting all of us at risk.”

“There will be no sugar-coating in his remarks, but he will outline reasons for hope,” Dujarric told reporters Monday.

Twenty hospitals damaged in Michoacán

The 77th General Assembly meeting of world leaders convenes under the shadow of Europe’s first major war since World War II — the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, which has unleashed a global food crisis and opened fissures among major powers in a way not seen since the Cold War.

Yet nearly 150 heads of state and government are on the latest speakers' list. That's a sign that despite the fragmented state of the planet, the United Nations remains the key gathering place for presidents, prime ministers, monarchs and ministers to not only deliver their views but to meet privately to discuss the challenges on the global agenda -- and hopefully make some progress.

At the top of that agenda for many: Russia’s Feb. 24 invasion of Ukraine, which not only threatens the sovereignty of its smaller neighbor but has raised fears of a nuclear catastrophe at Europe’s largest nuclear plant in the country’s now Russia-occupied southeast.

Leaders in many countries are trying to prevent a wider war and restore peace in Europe. Diplomats, though, aren't expecting any breakthroughs this week.

The loss of important grain and fertilizer exports from Ukraine and Russia has triggered a food crisis, especially in developing countries, and inflation and a rising cost of living in many others. Those issues are high on the agenda.

 

At a meeting Monday to promote U.N. goals for 2030 — including ending extreme poverty, ensuring quality education for all children and achieving gender equality — Guterres said the world's many pressing perils make it "tempting to put our long-term development priorities to one side.”

But the U.N. chief said some things can't wait — among them education, dignified jobs, full equality for women and girls, comprehensive health care and action to tackle the climate crisis. He called for public and private finance and investment, and above all for peace.

The death of Britain’s Queen Elizabeth II and her funeral in London on Monday, which many world leaders attended, have created last-minute headaches for the high-level meeting. Diplomats and U.N. staff have scrambled to deal with changes in travel plans, the timing of events and the logistically intricate speaking schedule for world leaders.

The global gathering, known as the General Debate, was entirely virtual in 2020 because of the pandemic, and hybrid in 2021. This year, the 193-member General Assembly returns to only in-person speeches, with a single exception — Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

Over objections from Russia and a few allies, the assembly voted last Friday to allow the Ukrainian leader to prerecord his speech because of reasons beyond his control — the “ongoing foreign invasion” and military hostilities that require him to carry out his “national defense and security duties.”

By tradition, Brazil has spoken first for over seven decades because, at the early General Assembly sessions, it volunteered to start when no other country did.

The U.S. president, representing the host country for the United Nations, is traditionally the second speaker. But Joe Biden is attending the queen’s funeral, and his speech has been pushed to Wednesday morning. Senegalese President Macky Sall is expected to take Biden’s slot.

___

Edith M. Lederer is chief U.N. correspondent for The Associated Press and has been covering international affairs for more than half a century. For more AP coverage of the U.N. General Assembly, visit https://apnews.com/hub/united-nations-general-assembly.

Copyright 2022 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

At least 20 hospitals in the state of Michoacán have suffered structural damage from the earthquake, local authorities say.

According to Mexico AS, the state health ministry reported that medical facilities in Uruapan, Apatzingán, Pátzcuaro, and many other towns had been hit by the tremor, along with churches and a technical college in Coalcomán.

A video posted on Twitter showed products strewn across the floor in aisle after aisle of a Michoacán supermarket. Neighbouring Jalisco state also reported damage to religious buildings.

Death toll rises to two

07:02 , Alisha Rahaman Sarkar

Two people were killed in the Pacific port of Manzanillo in the aftermath of the powerful earthquake that jolted Mexico yesterday, authorities said.

One of the victims died after being crushed by the facade of a department store while another was found dead at a mall.

Videos on social media showed the roof of the mall collapsed into the top floor, a gym, as people yelled for help.

'I don't care what no one says,' he said, 'What [Merdy] did was monstrous, but she herself is not a monster.'

Small also said he wanted his daughter to be remembered for how she lived, and not how she died.

'I don't want her to be remembered or known as how she passed,' he said, 'I don't even want to hear about it anymore.

'Don't want to see it, read it, or nothing. I just want everyone to remember that Lily, for four years, was loved by all her family members.'

Lily was dressed in a pink dress before being laid out in a white casket, which was buried in Cypress, Queens. A Barbie doll was placed inside her coffin with her.

Merdy faces charges of three counts of second-degree murder, three counts of depraved indifference to human life, and three counts of murder with the victims under 11 years old, an NYPD spokesperson said. She has not yet appeared in court because she hasn't been medically cleared to do so.

Church in Michoacán damaged in powerful quake

06:40 , Alisha Rahaman Sarkar

The church of San Miguel Arcángel in Michoacán was damaged after a powerful earthquake struck Mexico on Monday.

A video captured by locals showed debris falling out of a hole from the church building that was caused by the jolt. Cracks were also spotted on one of the bell towers of the church.

Another eerie coincidence

06:00 , Io Dodds

This earthquake happened less than an hour after Mexico's annual nationwide earthquake drill, which was introduced in 1985 after the devastating quake in Mexico City.

Across the country, about 14,000 loudspeakers issued a fake warning in order to test people's responses, with millions of civilians evacuating their homes, schools, and workplaces.

 

Earthquake affects power supply to 1.2 million users

05:43 , Alisha Rahaman Sarkar

Nearly 1.2 million users were left without electricity after the powerful 7.6 magnitude earthquake struck Mexico on Monday.

According to the federal electricity commission, until 3.30pm local time the reinstallation of power supply was achieved for 68 per cent of the affected users.

Democrats are pumping an unprecedented amount of money into advertising related to abortion rights, underscoring how central the message is to the party in the final weeks before the November midterm elections.

With the most intense period of campaigning only just beginning, Democrats have already invested more than an estimated $124 million this year in television advertising referencing abortion. That’s more than twice as much money as the Democrats’ next top issue this year, “character,” and almost 20 times more than Democrats spent on abortion-related ads in the 2018 midterms.

The estimated spending figures, based on an Associated Press analysis of data provided by the nonpartisan research firm AdImpact, reveal the extent to which Democrats are betting their majorities in Congress and key governorships on one issue. That’s even as large majorities of Americans think the country is heading in the wrong direction and the economy is in poor condition.

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The advertising numbers also reveal just how sharply Republicans have shied away from abortion in their paid advertising in the weeks since the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade, a decades-long goal of the GOP. (The AdImpact data captures every single time a campaign ad is aired on TV, and estimates a cost associated with those airings.)

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Since the high court’s decision in June to eliminate the constitutional right to abortion, roughly 1 in 3 television advertising dollars spent by Democrats and their allies have focused on abortion. Much of the spending is designed to attack Republicans on the ballot this fall who have long opposed abortion rights and are currently engaged in a state-by-state push to restrict abortion rights or outlaw the practice altogether.

The Democrats’ unprecedented investment in abortion messaging on TV this year through Sept. 18 is larger than the Republican Party’s combined national investment in ads relating to the economy, crime and immigration.

“With less than 60 days until the election, we refuse to stand by while out-of-step, anti-choice Republicans try to control our bodies and our futures and simultaneously lie about it to voters,” said Melissa Williams, executive director of Women Vote!, an outside group that has invested more than $4 million in abortion-related ads this year. “We are ensuring that each voter knows the candidates that stand with them and against them in protecting this right.”

 

The Democrats’ overwhelming focus on abortion may not be surprising given the reversal of Roe v. Wade and the wave of Republican-backed abortion bans in more than a dozen states that followed. But the strategy still marks a sharp departure from the party’s focus in recent years on former President Donald Trump and other issues like the economy, education and health care.

In the 2018 midterm elections, for example, Democrats spent less than $6 million on abortion-related television advertising. That’s compared to the $51 million that Democrats invested in Trump-related ads, $49 million on health care and $46 million on education, according to AdImpact.

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Jessica Floyd, president of American Bridge, a Democrat-allied super PAC running abortion-related advertising in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania, described abortion as “the ultimate health care issue” for women and families. The Supreme Court decision and the subsequent Republican push to ban abortion in some states, she said, represent “an actual rolling back of rights, which is unprecedented.”

Video shows hotel room ceiling fan shaking during earthquake

05:14 , Alisha Rahaman Sarkar

A video shared on Twitter showed a ceiling fan violently shaking in a hotel room in Puerto Vallarta when the 7.6 magnitude earthquake struck off the coast of Michoacán state in Mexico.

According to local reports, several hotels in the resort town suffered damage, with cracks emerging on ceilings and windows.

Tsunami threat has 'passed', say authorities

04:51 , Alisha Rahaman Sarkar

The tsunami warning which was issued immediately after the earthquake off the coast of Michoacán state has been revised.

According to the Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre, the tsunami threat has “largely passed”.

Earlier, waves reaching up to 3 metres were earlier predicted to hit Mexico and along the coast of Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, El Salvador and Guatemala among other countries, but recent readings have shown a relative decrease in wave heights.

“Minor sea level fluctuations of up to 0.3 metres above and below the normal tide may continue over the next few hours,” it said.

 

Nothing special about 19 September, say experts

04:49 , Alisha Rahaman Sarkar

The fact that three different earthquakes have all hit Mexico on 19 September is nothing more than random chance, according seismologists.

"This is a coincidence," Paul Earle of the US Geological Survey (USGS) told The Associated Press. "There's no physical reason or statistical bias toward earthquakes in any given month in Mexico...

"We knew we'd get this question as soon as it happened. Sometimes there are just coincidences."

José Luis Mateos, a physicist at the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM), told AS Mexico that the probability of three quakes happening on the same day in the same nation is 1 in 133,225.

On a global scale, the USGS says there is no particular season for earthquakes and no such thing as "earthquake weather", although one study did find an association between earthquakes and monsoon season in Taiwan specifically.